2009-10 NCAA Basketball Bubble Watch Thread (Updated every 4 days)

[noobd]

Tomorrow's games:

Florida vs #14 Tennessee - Huge stage for Florida to prove their worth of an at-large.
Maryland vs #21 Clemson - Maryland has been looking great. Another win keeps them atop the ACC and likely propels them off the bubble.
Minnesota vs #24 Ohio State - Minnesota is a textbook bubble team. They want this win.. they might not be so lucky come Selection Sunday like they were last year
VT vs Miami - Miami desperately needs this win, or they might be taken off the list.
Xavier vs Fordham - A stay afloat game for Xavier.
California vs Arizona - Arizona might be removed from the list with a loss.
Virginia vs UNC - Both teams really need this game.

[noobd]

Yesterday's winners and losers:

Winners:
Miami
Arizona
Virginia

Losers:
Florida
Maryland
Minnesota
VT
California
UNC

Staying Afloat:
Xavier

Tonight's games:
Louisville vs UConn - Both teams desperate for a win.
Oklahoma State vs Texas - OKState can't suffer another loss and consider themselves safe.

Results:
Louisville beat UConn by 10+ and Texas beat OkSt by 10+

[noobd]

Watch your back:
19- UNLV
20- Xavier
21- Mississippi St
22 - Rhode Island
23- Maryland
24- Florida State
25- St Marys

Better side of the bubble:
26 - Ok State
27- Texas A&M
28- Cincy
29- VT
30- Louisville
31 -Minnesota
32- Charlotte
33- marquette

Outside looking in:
florida
Richmond
Arizona state
UConn
SHU
Dayton
wichita st
UNC
Northwestern
utah st
washington
Texas Tech
illinois
virginia
VCU
miami
UTEP
Tulsa
South Carolina
Northeastern
Arizona

Dropped out:
Washington State
Notre Dame

New team(s):
South Carolina

Tomorrow's games:
Seton Hall @ #2 Villanova - Seton Hall is desperate, and seem to match up well against Villanova. However, Nova hasn't lost in the Pavillion since 2007.
Michigan vs Northwestern - Northwestern is in dire straits. A loss could do them in.
Miami vs Wake Forest - Key game for  both teams. Wake needs to right the ship while Miami needs to prove they belong.

Stay afloat games:
Rhode Island vs La Salle
Northeastern vs Delaware

[noobd]

Tonight:

Winners:
Northwestern - Won a must win game against UM.
Wake Forest

Losers:
Seton Hall - Lost a heart breaker to Villanova.
Miami - Suffered a similar fate to Seton Hall at the hands of Wake.

Staying Afloat:
Northeastern
Rhode Island

[noobd]

Tonight's games:

Wichita State @ Northern Iowa - UNI can virtually wrap up a MVC regular season title with a win.
NC State vs Virginia -Virginia needs to keep winning
William & Mary vs Old Dominion - Bill and M is likely done if they lose.
UAB vs Memphis - Memphis is done with a loss.
Texas A&M vs Missouri - Big game in the B12. Both teams are relatively safe. Game is a fight for positioning.
Tulsa vs Marshall - Marshall isn't that bad, but they are a NIT team. Tulsa needs a bunch of wins for at-large contention.

Stay afloat:
Depaul vs Marquette -
Illinois vs Iowa -
Houston vs UTEP -
Utah State vs Idaho -
VCU vs UNC-Wilmington -
Richmond vs St Joes -
Charlotte vs GW

[noobd]

Last night's results:

Winners:
South Florida**
Northern Iowa
Virginia
Memphis
Texas A&M

Losers:
Wichita St
William & Mary
UAB
Missouri

Staying afloat:
Marquette
VCU
Richmond
Charlotte
Tulsa
Illinois
Utah State
UTEP

[noobd]

Update:

Watch your back:
19- UNLV
20- Xavier
21- Mississippi St
22 - Rhode Island
23- Maryland
24- Florida State
25- St Marys
26 - Texas A&M

Better side of the bubble:
27 - Ok State
28- Cincy
29- VT
30- Louisville
31 -Minnesota
32- Charlotte
33- marquette

Outside looking in:
florida
Richmond
Arizona state
UConn
Dayton
UNC
Northwestern
utah st
virginia
washington
Texas Tech
illinois
wichita st
South Florida
VCU
UTEP
Seton Hall
Tulsa
South Carolina
Northeastern
Arizona
miami
Memphis

Dropped Out:


New team(s):
South Florida
Memphis

Tonight's games:

Florida @ Alabama - Florida needs to keep winning, they are right around the bubble.
Maryland vs FSU - Big game for positioning in the ACC
UNC @ VT - UNC needs this game like no other. They are practically eliminated with a loss.
Cincy @ ND - Big game. ND is done with a loss.
Arizona State vs Washington State - Washington St is eliminated with a loss, if they aren't already.
Arizona vs Washington - Both teams are desperate. The loser loses a lot of ground
CAL vs USC -Important game since CAL is tied with Arizona for #1 in the P10

[noobd]

Winners:
Florida
Maryland - Huge road win over FSU
Virginia Tech - Beating up on bruised UNC
Notre Dame - Won a must win  game against Cincy
Arizona State
Washington

Losers:
Arizona - Big loss to Washington
California - Lost to USC
Washington State - Eliminated.
Cincinnati  - Probably outside looking in now.
UNC - Anything short of a miracle could doom the Tar Heels.

Note: 4 way tie in the Pac10 for first. Last place Oregon State is only 2.5 games out of first, lol.

No games tomorrow of note, I'll update after Saturday's large slate of games.

[noobd]

Michigan State vs Illinois
Minny vs PSU
Gonzaga vs Memphis
South Carolina vs Tenn
Temple vs Richmond
Wake Forest vs Virginia
Xavier vs Dayton
Marquette vs Providence
Florida vs Miss St
Ok State vs TTU
Louisville vs Rutgers
VCU vs Old Dominion
Miami vs FSU
UTEP vs Tulsa
ASU vs Washington
Arizona vs Wash St

There are a few more "stay afloat" type games, but I got lazy.

[noobd]

I'll update the bubble picture in the next day or two since there aren't many bubble games over the next few days.

Saturday and Sundays Winners/Losers:

Winners:
dayton
richmond
florida
marquette
texas tech
minnesota
texas A&M
vt
louisville
vcu
uab
charlotte
northeastern
FSU
UTEP
washington
wash st
illinois
UConn
maryland
northwestern
notre dame

Losers:
virginia
xavier
miss st
ok state
clemson**
memphis
south carolina*
seton hall*
old dom
miami
san diego st
tulsa*
arizona*
arizona st
cincy
UNC
USF

Asterisks:
1 - Most likely "dropped out" next update
2 - dropped down to the bubble from "safe"

[noobd]

Watch your back:
20 Texas A&M
21 Rhode Island
22 Maryland
23- Mississippi
24- Florida State
25- St Marys
26 - Clemson

Better side of the bubble:
27 - Ok State
28- Louisville
29- VT
30- Richmond
31 - florida
32- Charlotte
33- marquette
34- UTEP

Outside looking in:
Minnesota
Cincy
Mississippi St
Notre Dame
Arizona state
UConn
Dayton
Northwestern
utah st
washington
Texas Tech
illinois
South Florida
VCU
Northeastern
wichita st
Arizona
San Diego State
Memphis
virginia

Dropped out:
UNC
miami
Seton Hall
South Carolina
Tulsa

New team(s):
Notre Dame
San Diego State

Monday: No Games
Tuesday:

Illinois vs Wisconsin
VCU vs George Mason
TTU vs Oklahoma
Wichita State vs Evansville

[noobd]

Winners:

Texas Tech - win a non-losable game against OU
Illinois - huge win for their resume against Wisky

Losers:
Wichita State - pretty much eliminates Wichita from getting an at-large.
VCU - Bad loss to George Mason. An at-large is now becoming a long shot for VCU. Several bad losses offset the several "decent" wins they had.

[noobd]

Going to withhold from updating for another day or two.

winners:
miami
northeastern
richmond
clemson
dayton
memphis
utep
san diego state

losers:
charlotte
uconn
rhode island
FSU
florida
northwestern

Tomorrow:
Notre Dame @ Seton Hall - Both teams desperate. SHU needs to finish 7-1 and win 2+ games in the BET to feel "okay" about the NCAAs. ND needs to do equally as well.
St Marys @ #11 Gonzaga - St Marys is right on the bubble if they don't win the WCC. Crucial game for them.
Michigan vs Minnesota - Minnesota needs to keep winning to stay near the bubble.
Louisville @ St Johns
Mississippi vs Miss St - Miss St really needs a win to be realistic about the NCAAs
California vs Washington - Top 2 tournament teams in the P10. CAL is a bit safer than Washington.

[noobd]

Winners:
Miss St - huge win over Miss.
California

Losers:
Notre Dame - ND proves once again they can't win on the road in the BE. Gody also sustained a hyper extension on his knee I believe. Could be trouble if hes out for any period of time.
Louisville - Terrible loss to St Johns. Knocks them out of the "last 4 in".
Minnesota - Bad loss for Minnesota
Mississippi - Loss to Miss St bumps them down a few rungs to the bubble.
Washington - At large hopes are quickly fading for Washington. A 1-2 big league is looking a lot more likely.

Clearly the theme of pure bubble teams losing big games continues.. I will update sometime tomorrow with attached RPIs and SOS.

[tundra]

Good win for the Hall.
Noobd - Do you consider Hall "off the bubble" on the bad side?

Also, bad loss for Minnesota. It's seems they want to "play fast" at all costs. It turns out "playing senseless."