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Messages - rwd5035

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1
OT / Re: Upsets everywhere, college football edition
« on: October 28, 2014, 07:38 PM »
*Cue Skeeza*

2
OT / Re: Jerry Sandusky - all relevant threads consolidated
« on: October 28, 2014, 01:08 PM »
Penn State Honors Legendary 2012 Legal Team During Halftime


The Onion might be my favorite site on the internet. I could laugh at that forever.

3
OT / Re: Upsets everywhere, college football edition
« on: October 27, 2014, 11:49 AM »
I cannot see the selection committee passing over 3(THREE) Top 5 ranked SEC teams to select other teams behind them.

But they won't all be top 5 teams by the end of the year. That's the point. There will be at most 2 imo. If there's 3 I'll be surprised.

I just want to point out what happened this weekend...

#3 Ole Miss loses to #24 LSU.  How do the rankings shake out?
- Ole Miss drops 4 spots to #7.  That just-so-happens to be in front of our #1 BIG TEN team Mich St, which is still at #8
- LSU jumps from #24 to 16

...that's a net game of 4 spots (Ole Miss dropped 4, LSU gained 8)

Instead of having 4 teams in the TOP 5 (5 in the TOP 9), the SEC now has 4 teams in the TOP 7 (5 i nthe TOP 9).  But, the SEC STILL has 3 of the TOP 4 spots in the rankings.

But that's a big loss for the 2 SEC playoff teams theory. I'm not sure how you can dispute that.

This now means that one of Mississippi and Auburn will be guaranteed two losses (since they haven't played yet). Mississippi still has to play Mississippi State as well, Mississippi State has to go to Ole Miss and to Alabama. Auburn also has to go to Alabama. LSU already has two losses and still has to play Alabama and has to go to Arkansas (who seem at least scrappy).

The odds of there being an 12-1 SEC West team, with everyone else at 10-2 (Georgia would be 11-2 in this scenario), seems to be increasing.

But again, we are just speculating because the first playoff rankings will be released tomorrow evening. Maybe the whole SEC West will make up the top 4, maybe only Mississippi State will, maybe it's a mix. It's important to remember that they all still have games against each other. This is why it's too early to claim X, Y and Z are guaranteed in. The playoff committee doesn't have to follow the AP and Coaches polls blindly. College sports are inherent in their volatility, we just can't say "this is going to happen!" when it's October 27. As I have said before, albeit, not exclusively on October 27th.

4
For those who read Grantland, Kirk Goldsberry shot charts are among the best tools to use to show where players are particularly efficient on the floor.

Forgot to mention this when this topic came up,  but Goldsberry is a Penn State Earth Science/GIS grad. 

Is he? I thought he went somewhere win CA like UCSB?

5
Penn State Basketball / Re: Blue - White Scrimmage 10-25-14
« on: October 25, 2014, 04:52 PM »
maybe against the rules?  anytime i ask a question like that it's usually b/c it's against some rule, although with the stuff Kentucky has been doing this off/preseason I can't imagine anything related to this sort of thing would be prohibited.

I would imagine putting a free scrimmage online is not against any rule since it's not recruiting motivated.

6
Penn State Basketball / Re: Blue - White Scrimmage 10-25-14
« on: October 25, 2014, 03:22 PM »
I don't know why Penn State wouldn't have a live stream up on gopsusports.com for this. But good to hear about Foster and Garner for sure.

7
OT / Re: OT: PSU Football
« on: October 25, 2014, 09:22 AM »
I just don't think we can force that volume of turnovers but it will take that kind of luck.

8
OT / Re: Sixers draft
« on: October 25, 2014, 08:58 AM »
I have said that I like a lot of the moves the Sixers have done to build towards the future.  But, as I also pointed out, a bird in hand is worth 2 in the bush.  Let's not count our eggs.   Some of the players you mentioned have already had serious injuries.  We don't know what we have.  They could be the next Greg Oden/Andrew Bynum, or the next Grant Hill.  Even if they develope, they may sign with another team as soon as they become free agents, disillusioined by all the losing to that point.

I think the pendullum will swing quite a way this year.  Either the players are legit and they have a really surprisingly good season, or they players never recover and they totally crap out.  I think this team is more likely to win 15 games or 35 games than they are of winning 25 games.

I agree with what you said in the first paragraph. This is why it was so imperative that the lottery reform was voted down for the Sixers. It decreases their margin for error. Maybe MCW, Noel, Embiid and Saric are the future, that's very possible but until they've done it in the NBA we just won't know (worth noting, Dario Saric was voted as the 2nd best player not in the NBA behind very capable SG Rudy Fernandez, not that this means anything). Teams don't win on potential, they win on talent, that's the problem with this Sixers roster for 14-15, their talent is either too raw (MCW, Noel) or it's not there at all.

I don't think there's a smoking hades chance that this Sixers team wins 35 games in really any circumstances, they'll be around their over/under, I'll get into why later. Their over/under is lower than last year, it's easy to see why, they have lost all their veterans and that's what wins teams games. They went 4-24 last season after they traded Hawes and Turner, now they've also traded Thad Young. The team is very inexperienced and very young, two things that will equal losses.

But here's why I think the Sixers won't be around that devastatingly low 9-10 win total:

1. They play in arguably the weakest division in the NBA. Only the Raptors are expected to make the playoffs (though I expect the Knicks will turnaround this year and do alright and possibly win a playoff series), but Boston is another team looking to acquire picks and future assets, Brooklyn is just…meh and has lost Paul Pierce.

2. They play in the East, where the Bucks, Magic, Celtics and other lower tiered, non-playoff teams are like Indiana (without PG :() and Detroit (though SVG might give them a turnaround).

3. I think teams get 9-10 wins just by showing up on a night to night basis. There are many times throughout the NBA schedule where players have late nights or delayed flights and their performances suffer. The Sixers play at a hectic pace (1st in possessions per game last year) and can give those teams real trouble. Then, all you need is a few random games where someone gets hot and carries the team to victory.

4. I think they have the potential to be a good defensive unit, which might open up easier bucket opportunities.

All in all, I think this is a 15-19 win team again but I wouldn't bet the over or under. I think it's just a very low margin for error and the Sixers will be close to that over/under imo. I think the best over/under and most stone cold lock there is is the Lakers under 31.5, how the hell will they win 32 games with a team that can't play defense and is playing a horribly outdated offensive system.

My biggest question for the Sixers season is what do they do at the draft? Right now, the two best prospects are C Jahlil Okafor and PG Emmanuel Mudiay, I think Mudiay, at this point anyway, is a better pro prospect than ROTY Michael Carter-Williams. Do they draft Mudiay and try to trade MCW for some wing help? He reminds me a bit of Westbrook and Lillard, fearless kid with a lot of skill. Needs to work on his shot selection and decision making, but every 19 year old needs to do that. 

9
OT / Re: OT: PSU Football
« on: October 25, 2014, 08:45 AM »
The line has been going up as well. -14.5 for Ohio State now.

I'm not sure what to expect because these hyped up home games have so many odd variables that are impossible to calculate. We can guess which it will be, but we still don't know. We could start out hot and lose, we could start off slow and get blown out.

Ohio State has a very good offense and while I like our defense, we need the offense to sustain drives to keep their offense off the field. The best form of defense against a great offense is your offense at times.

10
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/10/23/sports/university-of-north-carolina-investigation-reveals-shadow-curriculum-to-help-athletes.html

What do you know? The athletic department was in on it.


Always thought that the 2005 team was a sham to begin with.  The Illini deserved that title.  The NCAA should strip the titles from 1993, 2005 and 2009 and darken the Dean Dome for the next four years.  Football as well. 

This is beyond "institutional control". 

Of course, we know that there will be "nothing to see here". 




Illinois didn't deserve the title, as good as they were. They were beaten comfortably by that UNC team.

11
OT / Re: OT's GONE WILD!
« on: October 22, 2014, 01:55 PM »
Truer words never spoken:

http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/obama-is-a-republican/


I've thought that since the start myself, but good luck convincing most conservatives of that.  They're so hellbent on hating the guy, they've failed to realize that he's carrying out most of the policies they wanted from the guys with an R on their ballot.


Good luck convincing liberals that too.

12
At least you guys can get the B1G Network.  >:(

13
Penn State Basketball / Re: Recruiting
« on: October 21, 2014, 07:24 PM »
This Cam Reddish might be a future 5 star.

http://future150.com/jr/basketball-profiles/cameron-reddish-sg-2018

14
OT / Re: Upsets everywhere, college football edition
« on: October 21, 2014, 04:09 PM »
I cannot see the selection committee passing over 3(THREE) Top 5 ranked SEC teams to select other teams behind them.

But they won't all be top 5 teams by the end of the year. That's the point. There will be at most 2 imo. If there's 3 I'll be surprised.

15
Penn State Basketball / Re: Give Pat a contract extension
« on: October 21, 2014, 02:18 PM »
How about this, since it seems that Pat won't get an extension at least until during the season or after it (or never), let's wait and see how the team does before getting up in arms. Maybe Sandy wants to see how Pat does.

16
OT / Re: Upsets everywhere, college football edition
« on: October 21, 2014, 08:29 AM »
No, I get your point.

I'm just saying you don't know what the selection committee is going to do. You are guessing without having seen their first poll, which we will see October 28. We will know what they think then. We will know if they are looking at putting two SEC teams in. Maybe they'll rank all conference leaders ahead of those who aren't leading their conferences? WE JUST DO NOT KNOW. Which is what I have been saying the whole time, and the WE in WE JUST DO NOT KNOW, includes you.

And again, let's not project like we can predict college sports. It's inherently unpredictable given the age of the participants, for all we know another big upset can happen this weekend.

But again, are you going to rescind your point on the Big XII?

Going back to the original point, I was not trying to predict each individual game.  Actually, that's part of what I felt was off about Palm's article.

What I am saying is that there is something that is VERY predictable in college sports...   ...the media's opinion.  That's why I say that ther will be 2 SEC teams in the playoffs.  It doesn't have near as much to do with individual game outcomes as it does with what the media and pollsters will think about the SEC.

I have said before that none of the voters will care about the OOC played in Sept when the end of the season rolls around.  Mississippi State is ranked #1.  Can you, off the top of your head, tell me who they beat OOC?  Do you think that anyone else has gone back and looked over their schedule?

If Mississippi State goes unbeaten, they will have beaten Auburn, won at Alabama and at Ole Miss plus beaten Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Their OOC is somewhat irrelevant from that perspective IMO, they'd have three or four wins over top 10 teams in this scenario. The OOC wouldn't matter as much in this scenario.

However, you are also assuming that the playoff committee is going to weigh very heavily into what the AP and Coaches polls are saying. Again, we don't know what is factoring into their decision. I find it likely that the committee would be hesitant to put two SEC teams in a playoff given the backlash from 2011 but I don't assume that this is completely accurate.

I think the committee will be under some credibility pressure to avoid two SEC teams in the playoffs if an equally deserving BCS conference champ is also available

This is the key. Let's assume TCU, Oregon, Michigan State, Notre Dame and Florida State all run the table (they all won't, but let's assume this for the exercise). Does the committee put in Mississippi State and Alabama let's say? I don't think they do. If three of the five complete this task, do they put in an SEC team? Again, I think they'd be hesitant too. I currently believe that the most likely scenario is there will only be one representative from each conference unless there's multiple two loss conference champions.

17
Penn State Basketball / Re: Recruiting
« on: October 21, 2014, 07:43 AM »
I never thought Broddie was next in line in any sort of definite view. He even admitted in an interview that we weren't even one of the schools talking to him most (unless it was poor writing). I'm guessing Tony Carr might be someone we are focusing more on for whatever reason.

18
Penn State Basketball / Re: Recruiting
« on: October 20, 2014, 08:12 PM »
I feel the same. Good luck to him, maybe he'll change his mind later.

19
OT / Re: Upsets everywhere, college football edition
« on: October 20, 2014, 03:44 PM »
No, I get your point.

I'm just saying you don't know what the selection committee is going to do. You are guessing without having seen their first poll, which we will see October 28. We will know what they think then. We will know if they are looking at putting two SEC teams in. Maybe they'll rank all conference leaders ahead of those who aren't leading their conferences? WE JUST DO NOT KNOW. Which is what I have been saying the whole time, and the WE in WE JUST DO NOT KNOW, includes you.

And again, let's not project like we can predict college sports. It's inherently unpredictable given the age of the participants, for all we know another big upset can happen this weekend.

But again, are you going to rescind your point on the Big XII?

20
Penn State Basketball / Re: Recruiting
« on: October 20, 2014, 03:43 PM »
Alex Kline ‏@TheRecruitScoop  3m3 minutes ago
2016 Potomac (MD) PG Randall Brodie has committed to Memphis following a weekend visit.

21
OT / Re: Upsets everywhere, college football edition
« on: October 20, 2014, 01:33 PM »
Are you going to amend that the Big XII is guaranteed to get a team? Because it's looking likely that the conference winner will have two losses, yet you guaranteed they'd get a team in. That's not looking the most possible today.

And let's not forget the following games have to happen:

MSU/Miss
MSU/Bama
Auburn/Bama
Miss/Auburn

All of these teams have two games against each other. There will be losses.

There's a long way to go still. Could the SEC get two teams in? Yes, of course they could. Let's not forget though that this playoff happened because Alabama got to the BCS Championship game despite not winning their conference. When will you stop purporting to know exactly what a playoff selection committee that has never done anything is going to do? They release their first ranking October 28, we'll know what they are thinking then.

22
Penn State Basketball / Re: PSU hoops articles, videos, etc.
« on: October 19, 2014, 03:33 PM »
I agree. Frazier wasn't efficient last year but just because he was inefficient doesn't mean losing him is no big deal.

23
OT / Re: OT: PSU Football
« on: October 17, 2014, 11:39 AM »
Am I reading correctly that football season ticket payment is due Feb 1?  Three months earlier than in the past? 

Yup, that is correct. Don't know why they are doing it this way.

24
Penn State Basketball / Re: PSU hoops articles, videos, etc.
« on: October 17, 2014, 11:39 AM »
Got my tickets for PSU/Drexel at the PPL Center. :)


These ticket prices are insane!   :o

PENN STATE LIONS VS. DREXEL DRAGONS. Event Date: Saturday, December 20, 2014 at 2:00 pm
Facility: PPL CENTER




I got 2 tickets in the lower level for $43/ticket. Not the best price but it's a new arena and seating is probably limited.

25
Penn State Basketball / Re: PSU hoops articles, videos, etc.
« on: October 16, 2014, 01:30 PM »
Got my tickets for PSU/Drexel at the PPL Center. :)

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